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How do you project revenue for a product that hasn’t been shipped yet? Our leadership team wants to understand how fast it will grow.

Puja Hait
Google Group Product Manager3y
Start with a Total addressable market (TAM) * share of TAM you can get in next 3-5 years *confidence level *Revenue per user per year * 3-5 years. In the RICE framework,...
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8506 Views
Advaita Nigudkar
BILL Director Product ManagementApr 14
Honestly, any revenue projection for a 0 to 1 product is an educated guess. The goal is to make it a structured, defensible one.Here is how I approach it:Start with the a...
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376 Views
Tanguy Crusson
Atlassian Head of Product, Jira Product Discovery1y
I don't really have a "scientific" answer to this - I've always done this in 2 ways: creating a bottom-up model, and trying to find data from other companies/competitors ...
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3615 Views
Brandon Green
Buffer Staff Product Manager | Formerly Wayfair, Abstract, CustomMade, Sonicbids4y
So, in my experience of building 0-to-1, I've never had to do this before exploring a potential new product 😅 and candidly, I really don't like doing it because any proje...
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1867 Views
Deepti Srivastava
Head of Product, VP3y
When setting up any new line of business, revenue projection is an important step to understand the expected outcomes and viability of the business. For new a new product...
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2002 Views
Gautham Chundi
The Walt Disney Company Director of Product Management10mo
Projecting revenue for a 0 to 1 product isn't an exact science, especially if its product in a new category. That said, here are two approaches depending on the type of p...
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1114 Views
Jacqueline Porter
IBM Product Management9mo
There are three methods I have used for forecasts of revenue with new product delivery: Bottom-Up Market Sizing Start with your Total Addressable Market (TAM), then narro...
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378 Views
Saikat Paul
Asana Former Head of Product Operations | Formerly Adobe8mo
Leadership likes hard numbers- actually we all probably do. But, providing hard numbers requires a skill all of lack- forecasting the future.While you can't provide a gua...
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498 Views
Hiral Shah
DocuSign Director of Product Management3y
There are a couple of different things you have to do and validate that can help demonstrate the revenue potential. You have to do is TAM (Total Addressable Market) ana...
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1090 Views
Ashka Vakil
strongDM Sr. Director, Product Management3y
Projecting revenue for a product that hasn't shipped yet can be challenging, but there are some steps you can take to estimate potential revenue:Define your target market...
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618 Views
Sharad Goel
Carta VP Product, Upmarket & Private Equity2y
If this is a brand new product (i.e no existing product in market) you can go the TAM route: Do a total addressable market (TAM) analysis - you can either use public sour...
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779 Views
Preethy Vaidyanathan
Matterport VP of Product1y
Start by mapping your leading and lagging metrics Leading metrics examples include sales and customer engagement, customer usage Lagging metrics examples include bookings...
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670 Views
Pavan Kumar
Gainsight Director, Product Management | Formerly Cisco2y
Projecting revenue for a product that hasn't been shipped yet can be challenging since it involves forecasting future outcomes based on limited information. However, you ...
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501 Views
Paresh Vakhariya
Atlassian Director of Product Management (Confluence) | Formerly PayPal, eBay, Intel, Verizon2y
Projecting revenue for a product that hasn't been shipped is a tough but essential exercise for any organization.Some key inputs are:Market size and potential addressable...
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818 Views